A CO2 graph that says it all!

Här kommer lite fakta om Kinas mycket stora CO2 utsläpp. Och den accelererande ökningen av dessa utsläpp. Och som sagt Kina HAR INTE UNDERTECKNAT Kyoto protokollet.

2008-03-30_225514.jpg

Och om man nu tror på Global Warming Hysterin och att CO2 driver temperaturen, vilket den inte gör, så borde man ”kanske” ändra sina prioriteringar.

När svenska politiker därför pratar om att Sverige skall vara ”ett föregångsland” och ”att vi skall ligga i täten” när det gäller åtgärder mot Global Warming (dvs. minska CO2). Där de föreslår än den ena än den andra kostsamma åtgärden efter den andra som svenska folket får betala dyrt.

Och där det är GIGANTISKA SUMMOR som kommer att förslösas på dessa nonsensåtgärder.

Men allt detta (trotts dessa gigantiska summor) förbleknar i jämförelse med Kina. Det blir bokstavligen som att ”spotta i Stilla Havet” och tro att man därmed har åstadkommit något stort och avgörande.

Se mina tidigare inlägg:

A Carbon fantasy that will bankrupt us!, We were forced to swallow disadvantageous conditions for diplomatic reasons!, , EU:s CO2 policy – The hot air of hypocrisy!, Self-Interest: Inconvenient Truth of Climate Change!, The Price Tag – Kostnaderna för Global Warming för VANLIGT FOLK -2!, The Price Tag – Kostnaderna för Global Warming för VANLIGT FOLK!, $ 2,9 Biljoner i sänkt BNP för en sänkning av CO2 på 25 ppm!, De ekonomiska realiteterna av Global Warming Hysterin, Realpolitik i klimat dimmorna, Snabb helomvändning i Australien!

En kommentar från Roger Pielke, Jr. (former director of the University of Colorado’s Center for Science and Technology Policy Research and is also an associate professor of environmental studies). (Prometheus: ‘China’s growing emissions’)

Citat:

”According to this paper by two researchers at the University of California carbon dioxide emissions in China are projected to grow between 11.05% and 13.19% per year for the period 2000-2010. What does this mean? I hope you are sitting down because you won’t believe this.

In 2006 China‘s carbon dioxide emissions contained about 1.70 gigatons of carbon (GtC) (source). By 2010, at the growth rates projected by these researchers the annual emissions from China will be between 2.6 and 2.8 GtC. The growth in China’s emissions from 2006-2010 is equivalent to adding the 2004 emissions of Japan, Germany, United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia to China’s 2006 total (source). The emissions growth in China at these rates is like adding another Germany every year, or a UK and Australia together, to global emissions. The graph below illustrates the point.

Think about that.” (se grafen ovan)

Några citat från det research paper Pielke nämnde (”Forecasting the Path of China’s CO2 Emissions Using Province Level Information”):

http://repositories.cdlib.org/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1050&context=are_ucb

Läs även andra bloggares åsikter om <a href=”http://bloggar.se/om/milj%F6 rel=”tag”>miljö</a>

”Abstract

Our results suggest that the anticipated path of China’s Carbon Dioxide (CO2) emissions has dramatically increased over the last five years. The magnitude of the projected increase in Chinese emissions out to 2015 is several times larger than reductions embodied in the Kyoto Protocol. Our estimates are based on a unique provincial level panel data set from the Chinese Environmental Protection Agency. This dataset contains considerably more information relevant to the path of likely Chinese greenhouse gas emissions than national level time series models currently in use. Model selection criteria clearly reject the popular static environmental Kuznets curve specification in favor of a class of dynamic models with spatial dependence.”

Conclusion

 

At the end of the last century, it was conceivable that China’s CO2 per capita emissions growth rates were slowing down, suggesting a moderate growth emissions trajectory as income in China increased. In this paper we suggest, that over the next ten year time horizon such a downturn is now highly unlikely unless there are substantial changes in China’s energy policies. Our conclusion is based upon an extensive econometric exercise that examined a large suite of models. This exercise clearly rejects the static environmental Kuznets curve speci¯cation. Each new year of data over the last ¯ve years further increases the anticipated emissions path. While there are some substantial di®erences between estimates from the set of models that appear to have the best forecasting ability, they agree that the magnitude of the increase is quite large relative to existing forecasts of Chinese CO2 emissions. To put the size of the increase in emissions in sharp perspective, it is several times larger than the decrease in emissions that is embodied in the Kyoto protocol. That is, the disagreement between the models is over how many times larger the increase is likely to be.

Our data source and modeling approach have two strong advantages. First, we are able to exploit much shorter time series dynamics than are possible in a single national time series. Second, we are able exploit the considerable heterogeneity that exists across China’s provinces, each of which is generally large compared to most countries. A key feature of all of the better models is the strong in°uence of the lag structure, which is consistent with the nature of persistent capital investments in energy technology. The open question is whether there are now policy options available that can in°uence the current trajectory of capital investments in a meaningful way.”

Mera data om CO2 finns även här:

http://www.jennifermarohasy.com/blog/archives/002880.html

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Ett svar to “A CO2 graph that says it all!”

  1. The Best way to reduce CO2 emissions? – Civil War, Dictators, Political oppression and TOTAL poverty for the people! « UD/RK Samhälls Debatt Says:

    […] A CO2 graph that says it all! […]

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