New England winters have cooled in past decade

Här kommer lite intressanta temperatur och snö data från New Hampshire i nordöstra USA. Temperaturen och snön har inte betet sig som Global Warming Hysterikerna och deras modeller har förutspått. Temperaturen denna vintersäsong var 2,5 grader under vad modellen förutspått. Och snömängderna var de NÄST HÖGSTA någonsin.

Global Warming anyone?

The data are as follows:

New England winters 1969-70 to 1973-74: 22.9 degrees.

New England winters 1974-75 to 1978-79: 22.2 degrees.

New England winters 1979-80 to 1983-84: 24.3 degrees.

New England winters 1984-85 to 1988-89: 24.3 degrees.

New England winters 1989-90 to 1993-94: 23.9 degrees.

New England winters 1994-95 to 1998-99: 27.1 degrees.

New England winters 1999-00 to 2003-04: 24.6 degrees.

New England winters 2004-05 to 2007-08: 25.9 degrees.

 

Wake’s projection: 2004-05 to 2008-09: 28.4 degrees.

”Not only did the winter temperature not rise to 28.4 degrees, as Wake projected, it actually fell one to two degrees toward the levels we’ve been seeing all our lives.

 

This reversal from warming to cooling occurred despite continuing increases in man-made carbon-dioxide emissions. Wake’s pessimistic forecast of catastrophic increases in temperature have simply not comported with reality.

Wake also pointed out that there was a decrease in the winter snowfall in New England in recent times, implying a trend likely to continue. So where did all this snow come from?”

”These data are meant to show that this question is complicated and is not a subject for simplistic answers. Global alarmists like Wake should be wary of their predictions, especially in view of the sad history of such predictions made just a few decades ago — for an incipient Ice Age.”

Here is a list of the snow seasons with at least 100 inches of snow, as provided by the National Weather Service:

1. 122.0 inches: 1873-74

2. 115.2 inches: 2007-08

3. 115.0 inches: 1872-73

4. 112.4 inches: 1995-96

5. 111.0 inches: 1886-87 and 1887-88 (tie)

7. 103.2 inches: 1898-99

8. 103.0 inches: 1874-75

9. 100.0 inches: 1875-76 and 1971-72 (tie)

Artikeln finns här:

http://www.unionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Fred+Ward%3a+New+England+winters+have+cooled+in+past+decade&articleId=7e9416bf-55e0-4ecd-8e1b-31a77446700f

Artikeln om snö finns här:

http://www.theunionleader.com/article.aspx?headline=Snowstorm+inches+us+closer+to+No.+1&articleId=3e1f3ca1-9255-4b6e-adb3-702b2ebb60d3

Läs även andra bloggares åsikter om http://bloggar.se/om/milj%F6” rel=”tag”>miljö</a>

Fred Ward: New England winters have cooled in past decade

By FRED WARD

Thursday, Apr. 3, 2008

IN THE New Hampshire Union Leader this past summer, I exchanged some opinions on global warming with Dr. Cameron Wake of the University of New Hampshire. With this long, cold winter winding down, it is time to revisit the discussion.

The debate started with Wake calculating that the winter temperatures in New England had warmed by 1 1/2 degrees per decade for the last three decades of the last century, or more than 4 degrees! He concluded that this extreme warming was likely due to increased carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions caused by man’s activities.

Moreover, he warned that if we continued to pump CO2 into the air, we would likely see this warming of 1 1/2 degrees per decade continue into the present century. He also made some dire predictions of the effect of this continued warming on all manner of biological plants and animals, right down to the final New England skier.

We have just finished the ninth of the 10 winters of the first decade of this century, an appropriate time to look at the latest data. Did the rise of 1 1/2 degrees per decade (1 1/3 degrees for these nine winters) continue with its attendant catastrophic consequences?

The data are as follows:

New England winters 1969-70 to 1973-74: 22.9 degrees.

New England winters 1974-75 to 1978-79: 22.2 degrees.

New England winters 1979-80 to 1983-84: 24.3 degrees.

New England winters 1984-85 to 1988-89: 24.3 degrees.

New England winters 1989-90 to 1993-94: 23.9 degrees.

New England winters 1994-95 to 1998-99: 27.1 degrees.

New England winters 1999-00 to 2003-04: 24.6 degrees.

New England winters 2004-05 to 2007-08: 25.9 degrees.

Wake’s projection: 2004-05 to 2008-09: 28.4 degrees.

The data for the first five years of the new millennium, 1999-00 to 2003-04, yield an average winter temperature of 24.6 degrees, and a temperature for the most recent four winters of 25.9. But if Wake’s expected warming continued (1 1/3 degrees for 9/10th of another decade), we should have found a temperature for the 2004-05 to 2007-08 winters of between 28 and 29 degrees.

Not only did the winter temperature not rise to 28.4 degrees, as Wake projected, it actually fell one to two degrees toward the levels we’ve been seeing all our lives.

 

This reversal from warming to cooling occurred despite continuing increases in man-made carbon-dioxide emissions. Wake’s pessimistic forecast of catastrophic increases in temperature have simply not comported with reality.

Wake also pointed out that there was a decrease in the winter snowfall in New England in recent times, implying a trend likely to continue. So where did all this snow come from?

These data should not be interpreted to mean the globe, or New England, is not warming, or that we are not influencing the present and future climate. There are solid scientific reasons for expecting that adding CO2 to our atmosphere, by burning fossil fuels, will increase the global temperature.

However, the amount of this warming is not known and cannot be directly calculated. These data are meant to show that this question is complicated and is not a subject for simplistic answers. Global alarmists like Wake should be wary of their predictions, especially in view of the sad history of such predictions made just a few decades ago — for an incipient Ice Age.

The climate models used to forecast this future warming and its dire consequences are another subject entirely and could be the heart of another debate. Maybe if we concentrated more on the facts, such predictions might include a large grain of salt.

As Wake correctly points out, climate is changing, as it always has, and it’s important to understand how it’s changing and by how much. Even more important, we need to show a bit of humility about our forecasts of such unknowable things.

Fred Ward of Stoddard has a Ph.D. in meteorology from Massachusetts Institute of Technology and was a meteorologist on Channel 7 in Boston in the 1960s and 1970s.

______________________________________________________

Snowstorm inches us closer to No. 1

By GARRY RAYNO

New Hampshire Union Leader Staff

Saturday, Mar. 29, 2008

Manchester – Yesterday’s snow in Concord was just enough to slide this winter into second place on the all-time snowfall list for New Hampshire since records have been kept.

Despite the 4- to 8-inch predictions, only 2.8 inches of snow fell at Concord Airport, the official record-keeping site, according to Jim Hayes, meteorologist at the National Weather Service in Gray, Maine. But that was enough to give us 115.2 inches, surpassing second place (by two-tenths of an inch) on the list, and leaving us 6.8 inches short of the record of 122 inches, set in 1873-74.

Said Hayes: ”We’ve still got a few inches to go, but it’s only late March, so it’s still possible to break the record.”

Other areas of the state received more snow than the capital city, with 6 to 7 inches falling along a strip across Sullivan, Merrimack, Belknap and Carroll counties, according to the NWS. Also, there were 5 to 7 inches in sections of Rockingham and Strafford counties.

Far northern New Hampshire received lighter amounts.

Hayes said today could start with a few snow showers with some clouds and then turn sunny and breezy, but cold for this time of year with highs around 35 degrees. Tomorrow will have a cold start, he said, but will be sunny and milder with temperatures in the mid-40s.

The next chance for precipitation in the Concord area will be Monday morning, according to Hayes, but will likely be rain.

Yesterday’s snow, which began around midnight and ended shortly after noon, resulted in many accidents around the state, including a fatal accident on Route 10 in Lebanon in the morning.

Other road closures were on Route 25 in Tamworth, west of Route 113, where a trailer truck jack-knifed, and also on Route 119 in Hinsdale near Fullam Hill Road for another truck accident, said Department of Transportation spokesman Bill Boynton.

Driving was difficult all around the state with traffic moving slowly and accidents reported on I-93, I-89 and I-95. There were accidents in Manchester and other cities as motorists tried to make their way over slush- and ice-covered highways.

Boynton said the state has spent about $8 million more than the $29 million to $30 million it averages on winter maintenance. He noted most cities and towns are in the same predicament.

While department officials received lawmakers’ approval to cover $2.5 million earlier this week, the rest of the $8 million will have to be absorbed in the department’s summer maintenance program, he said. Summertime activities, like mowing along roadsides, will be impacted, Boynton said.

Hundreds of schools across New Hampshire were closed yesterday, giving thousands of students another day off that will have to be made up in June.

Electrical outages affected 1,450 customers of Public Service of New Hampshire, mostly in the southwestern part of the state.

There were few problems on the Seacoast and none in the North Country.

By early evening, repair crews had restored power to two-thirds of the customers affected. As of 6 p.m., PSNH spokesman Martin Murray said only 500 were still waiting for power to return.

Disruptions occurred in parts of Antrim, Bedford, Deerfield, Dublin, Francestown, Greenfield, Henniker, Hillsborough, Jaffrey, Keene, Lyndeborough, Milford, New Ipswich, Peterborough, Richmond, Rindge, Stoddard, Warner and Winchester.

Here is a list of the snow seasons with at least 100 inches of snow, as provided by the National Weather Service:

1. 122.0 inches: 1873-74

2. 115.2 inches: 2007-08

3. 115.0 inches: 1872-73

4. 112.4 inches: 1995-96

5. 111.0 inches: 1886-87 and 1887-88 (tie)

7. 103.2 inches: 1898-99

8. 103.0 inches: 1874-75

9. 100.0 inches: 1875-76 and 1971-72 (tie)

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2 svar to “New England winters have cooled in past decade”

  1. Snögubbarna Says:

    Global uppvärmning på grund av människans CO2-utsläpp är detta århundrades största politiska bluff. Helt styrd av egenintressen av de mest skiftande slag. Även av dumhet och likgiltighet. Människan påverkar inte den globala uppvärmningen men däremot miljön allmänt i andra sammanhang. Det är den stora skillnaden.

    Det viktigaste internationella ordet i alla dessa sammanhang är det engelska ordet ”PREDICTIONS”. Vi läser det som grund i alla frågor som rör jordens påstådda uppvärmning genom CO2-utsläpp påverkade av människor och boskapsdjur. ”Predictions” betyder översatt till svenska: förutsägelse, spådom, profetia.

    Man skulle litet enkelt kunna säga följande. ”Gud = naturen rår”, men IPPC och Al Gore spår, försöker vara profeter och låter skickligt propagandistiskt hela världen ta del av deras förutsägelser.

    IPPC och Al Gore och Company är så långt från vetenskapliga bevis om vad som kommer att hända om 100 år man kan komma. Förutsägelserna håller inte. Det räcker med att läsa hänvisningarna på denna förträffliga blogg till internationella kritiska vetenskapsmän och deras ifrågasättande av global warming-spådomarna genom deras föreläsningar, bilder och grafik.

    Första frågan är vilka klimatmodeller har använts? Har modellerna vetenskaplig relevans för vetenskapliga förutsägelser om vad som kommer att kunna ha hänt om 100 år? Svaret är nej.

    Använder vi IPPC:s modeller kan vi idag inte med säkerhet vetenskapligt förutsäga ens sommarens väder i Sverige. Men spå vädret i sommar kan både Expressen och Aftonbladet. Fylla spaltkilometer om profetior om vädret om 100 år kan DN göra vecka efter vecka.

    På detta moras bygger svenska regeringen och oppositionen sedan klimatsatsningar, klimatkommissioner, klimatmöten, vilja att skänka svenska skattepengar (utsläppsrätter) till utlandet, trycker på EU att medlemsländerna skall göra meningslösa minskningar av CO2-utsläpp som försämrar för industrin och välståndet i bl.a. Sverige, satsar skattepengar på ur C02-utsläppssynpunkt värdelösa allmänt miljöförstörande etanolbilar och mycket annat som förefaller totalt sanslöst från vetenskapliga utgångspunkter. Av ekonomiska skäl fullständigt förödande, vilket kommer att visa sig före miljökonferensen i Köpenhamn i slutet av 2009.

    Var kommer all snö och is ifrån? En bra fråga i det inlägg ovan jag just läst. Den globala uppvärmningen? Inte ens fan tro’t.

    Säger tacksamt frysande Snögubbar som kommer att stå lika granna och vackra i vårt norra Arktis som i det södra Antarktis om 100 år. Åtminstone om man får döma av IPPC:s och Al Gores ovetenskapliga modeller och spådomar.

    Politikernas global warming-luftslott 2008 kommer då inte ens att vara kända som annat än galenskaper om att just de av människan påverkbara CO2-utsläppen påverkade klimatet. Man kommer att skratta åt att solen, haven, vindarna, molnen, vulkaner och annat var huvudaktörerna i global warming- eller global cooling-frågorna.

    CO-2-hysterin hindrar allt vettigt arbete i miljöfrågorna när det gäller den viktiga kampen för att förhindra nedsmutsning av vatten, luft, bevarandet av djur och vårdandet av natur.

  2. GLOBAL TEMPERATURE TRENDS FROM 2500 B.C. TO 2008 A.D. « UD/RK Samhälls Debatt Says:

    […] Watts Has Done On Documenting The Immediate Environment Of Suface Temperature Monitoring Sites,  New England winters have cooled in past decade,  The wonderful benefits of CO2!,  Manipulation av temperatur grafer men bara när de […]

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