The American Army: Sun, Not Man, Is Causing Climate Change!

Här kommer en intressant artikel hämtad från mars numret av Physics Today. Där skrev, Bruce West,( the chief scientist of the Army Research Office’s mathematical and information science directorate) och Nicola Scafetta (a research associate in the Duke University physics department) följande:

the Sun’s turbulent dynamics” are linked with the Earth’s complex ecosystem. These connections are what is heating up the planet.

Citat:

The causes of global warming-the increase of approximately 0.8±0.1 °C in the average global temperature near Earth’s surface since 1900-are not as apparent as some recent scientific publications and the popular media indicate. We contend that the changes in Earth’s average surface temperature are directly linked to two distinctly different aspects of the Sun’s dynamics: the short-term statistical fluctuations in the Sun’s irradiance and the longer-term solar cycles. This argument for directly linking the Sun’s dynamics to the response of Earth’s climate is based on our research and augments the interpretation of the causes of global warming presented in the United Nations 2007 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report.1″

”Our conclusions depart from those of the GCM simulations. We maintain that the variations in Earth’s temperature are not noise, but contain substantial information about the source of variability, in particular the variations in TSI (total solar irradiance). Establishing this direct connection between the complex dynamics of the Sun and Earth requires a new kind of linking-one associated with the transfer of information between complex networks, even when the linking is extremely weak, as it is in the Sun-Earth network.”

”Thus the average global temperature record presents secular patterns of 22-and 11-year cycles and a short timescale fluctuation signature (with apparent inverse power-law statistics), both of which appear to be induced by solar dynamics. The same patterns are poorly reproduced by present-day GCMs and are dismissively interpreted as internal variability (noise) of climate. The nonequilibrium thermodynamic models we used suggest that the Sun is influencing climate significantly more than the IPCC report claims. If climate is as sensitive to solar changes as the above phenomenological findings suggest, the current anthropogenic contribution to global warming is significantly overestimated.

We estimate that the Sun could account for as much as 69% of the increase in Earth’s average temperature, depending on the TSI reconstruction used.5 Furthermore, if the Sun does cool off, as some solar forecasts predict will happen over the next few decades, that cooling could stabilize Earth’s climate and avoid the catastrophic consequences predicted in the IPCC report.”

Visst är det skönt att ha amerikanska armen på sin sida i kampen mot Global Warming Hysterin och alla dess lakejer!

Se även mina inlägg: The Deniers: Our spotless sunUnstoppable Solar Cycles,  The scariest photo I have seen – Where is Solar Cycle 24? Och The scariest photo I have seen – Where is Solar Cycle 24 part 2?  

Artikeln finns här:

http://www.fel.duke.edu/~scafetta/pdf/opinion0308.pdf

Och här:

http://blog.wired.com/defense/2008/06/army-vs-global.html

Läs även andra bloggares åsikter om <a href=”http://bloggar.se/om/milj%F6 rel=”tag”>miljö</a>

Army: Sun, Not Man, Is Causing Climate Change

By Noah Shachtman June 03, 2008 | 1:46:00

 The Army is weighing in on the global warming debate, claiming that climate change is not man-made.  Instead, Dr. Bruce West, with the Army Research Office, argues that ”changes in the earth’s average surface temperature are directly linked to … the short-term statistical fluctuations in the Sun’s irradiance and the longer-term solar cycles.”

In an advisory to bloggers entitled ”Global Warming: Fact of Fiction [sic],” an Army public affairs official promoted a conference call with West about ”the causes of global warming, and how it may not be caused by the common indicates [sic] some scientists and the media are indicating.”

In the March, 2008 issue of Physics Today, West, the chief scientist of the Army Research Office’s mathematical and information science directorate, wrote that ”the Sun’s turbulent dynamics” are linked with the Earth’s complex ecosystem. These connections are what is heating up the planet. ”The Sun could account for as much as 69 percent of the increase in Earth’s average temperature,” West noted.

It’s a position that puts West at odds with nearly every major scientific organization on the planet. ”The American Meteorological Society, the American Geophysical Union, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science all have issued statements in recent years concluding that the evidence for human modification of climate is compelling,” Science magazine observes. So has the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which shared the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize with Al Gore, for their work on global warming.

West acknowledges that the IPCC and other scientific groups have ”conclude[d] that the contribution of solar variability to global warming is negligible.” He argues that these groups have done a poor job modeling the Sun’s impact, however, and that’s why they have ”significantly over-estimated” the ”anthropogenic contribution to global warming.”

In recent days, the science and politics of climate change have once again taken center stage. NASA’s Inspector General just issued a report, acknowledging that political appointees ”reduced, marginalized or mischaracterized climate change science made available to the general public.” Yesterday, the Senate began debating a bill that would cap carbon dioxide emissions — considered one of the leading causes of man-made global warming.

After the jump: the Army’s full press release.

———- Forwarded message ———-

From: Dinklage, Lindy J. Ms OCPA <XXXXXX@XXXXXXXX.mil>

Date: Tue, Jun 3, 2008 at 12:21 PM

Subject: Army Blogger’s Roundtable: Global Warming (UNCLASSIFIED)

To:

Classification: UNCLASSIFIED

Caveats: NONE

Army Blogger’s Roundtable

Global Warming: Fact of Fiction

11 AM Thursday, June 5

Is global warming really caused by humans, or is it simply the result of different aspects of the sun’s dynamics?

Dr. Bruce West, Chief Scientist, Mathematical & Information Science Directorate, Army Research Office, will discuss the causes of global warming, and how it may not be caused by the common indicates some scientists and the media are indicating. Research conducted by Dr. West contends that the changes in the earth’s average surface temperature are directly linked to two distinctly different aspects of the sun’s dynamics: the short-term statistical fluctuations in the Sun’s irradiance and the longer-term solar cycles.

Please reply to this message if you are interested in participating.

Lindy Kyzer

Public Affairs Specialist

Media Relations Division

Office of the Chief of Public Affairs

Department of the Army

703.XXXXXXXXX (w)

202.XXXXXXXXX (c)

XXXXXXXX@XXXXXX.mil

Classification: UNCLASSIFIED

Caveats: NONE

 

 

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Ett svar to “The American Army: Sun, Not Man, Is Causing Climate Change!”

  1. GLOBAL TEMPERATURE TRENDS FROM 2500 B.C. TO 2008 A.D. « UD/RK Samhälls Debatt Says:

    […] on Trend Analyses,  Very Cold May – Global Mean Temperature (UAH) sunk – 0,180 C,  The American Army: Sun, Not Man, Is Causing Climate Change!,  Observation does not fit theory and yet the theory is deemed correct,  May 2008 Was A Cold […]

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