Posts Tagged ‘Climate History’

Part 4: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler

9 november, 2011

And the cooling continues. Even on a regional level. Sorry – I mean that Global Warming is an imminent treat to humankind everywhere. Move on, NOTHING to see here.

Here is the last part of my regional analysis of the recent 9 months (year to date, January-September) US temperature from a regional perspective.

I wanted to see how the national trend is, or is not, mimicked in the 9 US climate regions. And how these regional decade trends have evolved during the last 111 years.

Especially to see how the decade trends have evolved during the last 41 years. The period that according to the Global Warming Hysterics and computer models they worship should show a steady and accelerated increase in temperature.

I don’t know about you, but I consider a 9 month consecutive month trend 111 years long to be a “quit good” indicator.

And since the October temperature data are just out today I will do a quick comparison between the 10 months (year to date, January-October) data and compare it with the 9 months data.

Part 1 here:

Part 1: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler

Part 2 here:

Part 2: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler

Part 3 here:

Part 3: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler

And as I always point out:

Remember, these are the official figures. With the poor placement of stations (91 % of the stations are CRN 3 to 5 = bad to very poor); where they have purposely taken away the urban heat island effect, use huge smoothing radius, the historical “adjustment and tweaking” to cool the past etc.

Not to mention the great slaughter of GHCN stations 1990-1993 – roughly 63 % of all stations were “dropped”. Oddly enough many of them in cold places – Hmmm? Now the number of GHCN stations is back at the same numbers as in 1890.

Also remember that the US stations are now nearly a third of the all GHCN world stations.

So to summarize this evidence of this US regional “accelerated warming” trend:

                               North West (WA, OR and ID)

The recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.11 F / Decade

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is 1.39 F / Decade

                                        West (CA and NV)

The recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.16 F / Decade

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is – 1.38 F / Decade

                    West North Central (MT, NE, ND, SD and WY)

The recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.19 F / Decade

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is – 2.08 F / Decade

                           Southwest (AZ, CO, NM and UT)

The recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.18 F / Decade

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is 1.84 F / Decade

South (AR, LA, KS, MS, OK and TX)

The recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.01 F / Decade

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is – 0.19 F / Decade

East North Central (IA, MI, MN and WI)

The recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.11 F / Decade

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is – 1.05 F / Decade

                     Central (IL, IN, KY, MO, OH, TN and WV)

The recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.02 F / Decade

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is – 0.33 F / Decade

Southeast (AL, FL, GA, NC, SC and VA)

The recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) trend for 1900 to 2011 is – 0.03 F / Decade

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is 0.26 F / Decade

Northeast (CR, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI and VT)

The recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.09 F / Decade

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is 0.83 F / Decade

And as I said in the beginningalways remember that these figures are based on the official data that has been tweaked, “adjusted” and manipulated to fit their agenda (cool the past, ignore UHI and land use change factors, huge smoothing radius – 1200km etc.)..

Do you notice the “accelerated warming” trend from 1970-2011 to 2000-2011??

And this is also the decade that the Global Warming Hysterics have been screaming at the top of their lungs, trying to scare us to death, about the catastrophic treat that the “extreme increase” in temperature is to mankind and earth.

As I said in the beginning the temperature data for October is just out today so I thought it would be really interesting to compare the new 10 month consecutive month trend for 111 years to the 9 month data in my posts.

So here is a quick comparison for the Trend/Decade for 1900-2011 (and this time I spare you all the graphs OK):

                             North West (WA, OR and ID)

The recent 10 months (Jan-Oct) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.11 F / Decade

The difference to the 9 months data is – 0.02 F COOLER

                                      West (CA and NV)

The recent 10 months (Jan-Oct) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.16 F / Decade

The difference to the 9 months data is none, it is the same.

               West North Central (MT, NE, ND, SD and WY)

The recent 10 months (Jan-Oct) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.17 F / Decade

The difference to the 9 months data is – 0.02 F COOLER

                         Southwest (AZ, CO, NM and UT)

The recent 10 months (Jan-Oct) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.17 F / Decade

The difference to the 9 months data is – 0.01 F COOLER

                         South (AR, LA, KS, MS, OK and TX)

The recent 10 months (Jan-Oct) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.01 F / Decade

The difference to the 9 months data is none, it is the same.

                    East North Central (IA, MI, MN and WI)

The recent 10 months (Jan-Oct) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.09 F / Decade

The difference to the 9 months data is – 0.02 F COOLER

                    Central (IL, IN, KY, MO, OH, TN and WV)

The recent 10 months (Jan-Oct) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.00 F / Decade

The difference to the 9 months data is – 0.02 F COOLER

                        Southeast (AL, FL, GA, NC, SC and VA)

The recent 10 months (Jan-Oct) trend for 1900 to 2011 is – 0.04 F / Decade

The difference to the 9 months data is 0.01 F COOLER

   Northeast (CR, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI and VT)

The recent 10 months (Jan-Oct) trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.07 F / Decade

The difference to the 9 months data is – 0.02 F COOLER

And remember that this is the whole 10 month consecutive temperature Trend/ Decade for 111 years.

I don’t know about you, but I consider this 10 month consecutive month trend 111 years long to be a “quit good” indicator.

And what was the difference between the 9 and 10 month Trend/Decade?

In 7 regions the COOLING increased and in 2 they stayed the same.

According to the computer models that the Global Warming Hysterics love so much, worship and blindly follows (especially our intelligent politicians), it should be EXACTLY the opposite.

And we are supposed to be very worried about a predicted rise of 3-4 F in 100 years?

But not this ACTUAL trend?

And for this predicted trend the politicians want to take our societies back to the Stone Age. But, as usual, they DO NOTHING about the actual trend.

And remember that there where two regions that had some warming during 2000-2011 (SE and NE). And that in reality it was a few states that were behind this warming in each region?

So I could not help myself but to include the new data for 2000-2011 (and I could not resist the graphs either):

                    Southeast (AL, FL, GA, NC, SC and VA)

The recent 10 months (Jan-Oct) trend for 2000 to 2011 is 0.15 F / Decade

The difference to the 9 months data is – 0.11 F COOLER

   Northeast (CR, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI and VT)

The recent 10 months (Jan-Oct) trend for 2000 to 2011 is 0.80 F / Decade

The difference to the 9 months data is – 0.03 F COOLER

So the only two regions that had some warming during 2000-2011 are COOLING too.

So the “warming” trend is really accelerating wouldn’t you say.

Some more “rapid warming” like this and the freezer looks really comfortable and warm.

Another brilliant and glorious example of RAPID WARMING and an eminent treat to humankind! Especially during the last 41 years.

That is truly “Global Warming” on a regional US style.

An interesting ”science” wouldn’t you say.

This is the “stuff” that “Global Warming” is made of.

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Part 3: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler

8 november, 2011

And the cooling continues. Even on a regional level. Sorry – I mean that Global Warming is an imminent treat to humankind everywhere. Move on, NOTHING to see here.

Here is the third  part of my regional analysis of the recent 9 months (year to date, January-September) US temperature from a regional perspective.

To see how the national trend is, or is not, mimicked in the 9 US climate regions. And how these regional decade trends have evolved during the last 111 years.

Especially to see how the decade trends have evolved during the last 41 years. The period that according to the Global Warming Hysterics and computer models they worship should show a steady and accelerated increase in temperature.

Part 1 here:

Part 1: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler

Part 2 here:

Part 2: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler

And as I always point out:

Remember, these are the official figures. With the poor placement of stations (91 % of the stations are CRN 3 to 5 = bad to very poor); where they have purposely taken away the urban heat island effect, use huge smoothing radius, the historical “adjustment and tweaking” to cool the past etc.

Not to mention the great slaughter of GHCN stations 1990-1993 – roughly 63 % of all stations were “dropped”. Oddly enough many of them in cold places – Hmmm? Now the number of GHCN stations is back at the same numbers as in 1890.

Also remember that theUSstations are now nearly a third of the all GHCN world stations.

So here are the trends for the third and last three regions:

                     Central (IL, IN, KY, MO, OH, TN and WV)

Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) 1900-2011

The trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.02 F / Decade

Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1970-2011

The trend for 1970 to 2011 is 0.40 F / Decade

Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1980-2011

The trend for 1980 to 2011 is 0.36 F / Decade

Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1990-2011

The trend for 1990 to 2011 is 0.16 F / Decade

Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 2000-2011

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is – 0.33 F / Decade

                  Southeast (AL, FL, GA, NC, SC and VA)

Southeast temperature recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) 1900-2011

The trend for 1900 to 2011 is – 0.03 F / Decade

Southeast temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1970-2011

The trend for 1970 to 2011 is 0.32 F / Decade

Southeast temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1980-2011

The trend for 1980 to 2011 is 0.35 F / Decade

Southeast temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1990-2011

The trend for 1990 to 2011 is – 0.03 F / Decade

Southeast temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 2000-2011

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is 0.26 F / Decade

    Northeast (CR, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI and VT)

Northeast temperature recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) 1900-2011

The trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.09 F / Decade

Northeast temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1970-2011

The trend for 1970 to 2011 is 0.41 F / Decade

Northeast temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1980-2011

The trend for 1980 to 2011 is 0.43 F / Decade

Northeast temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1990-2011

The trend for 1990 to 2011 is 0.39 F / Decade

Northeast temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 2000-2011

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is 0.83 F / Decade

And as I said in the beginningalways remember that these figures are based on the official data that has been tweaked, “adjusted” and manipulated to fit their agenda (cool the past, ignore UHI and land use change factors, huge smoothing radius – 1200km etc.).

As you can see this is a more mixed result, some cooling and some warming.

If we look at the 6 states in the Southeast region, it is only Virginia and to some part South Carolina that drives this value for the whole region. Florida for example has – 0.19 F trend/decade for the same period (2000-2011). And interestingly the trend for the last 111 years (1900 to 2011) is 0.03 F / Decade for the whole region.

Also notice the swings between decades: 1980 to 2011 is 0.35 F, 1990 to 2011 is – 0.03 F and 2000 to 2011 is 0.26 F.

And if we look at the 9 states in the Northeast region it is in reality only four states that drive that temperature for the whole region – ME, DE, NJ and VT. For example New Hampshire, between Maine and Vermont does not have even half the value of the neighboring states.

Remember that NOAA /NCDC determined these 9 climate regions because they are:

“nine climatically consistent regions within the contiguous United States”.

There is not supposed to be wild swings and huge differencies in temperature trend/decade just because you pass to the neighbouring state a few a miles away. We are not talking about diffrence in temperatur over the day or week here, but temperature trend/decade within miles of each other.

Another reason to be “confident” in the “sience” behind the Global Warmin Hysteria wouldn’t you say?

But it is an interesting observation none the less.

And these states are geographically very small so I suspect that these huge differences within the same region (and between neighboring states) has more to do with the placement of stations, the urban heat island effect etc.

So the “warming trend” 2000-2011 is exactly – 0.33 F, 0.26 F and 0.83 F degrees COOLER and warmer a decade for these 3 regions.  That is a – 3.3 F, 2.6 F and 8.3 F COOLER and warmer in 100 years.

And this is also the decade that the Global Warming Hysterics have been screaming at the top of their lungs, trying to scare us to death, about the catastrophic treat that the “extreme increase” in temperature is to mankind and earth.

According to the computer models that the Global Warming Hysterics love so much, worship and blindly follows (especially our intelligent politicians), it should be EXACTLY the opposite.

So to summarize this evidence of this “accelerated warming” trend:

The Central recent 9 months trend 2000 -2011 is exactly – 0.33 F degrees a decade.

The Southeast recent 9 months trend 2000 -2011 is exactly 0.26 F degrees a decade.

The Northeast recent 9 months trend 2000-2011 is exactly 0.83 F degrees a decade.

So the “warming” trend is really accelerating wouldn’t you say.

Some more “rapid warming” like this and the freezer looks really comfortable and warm.

Another brilliant and glorious example of RAPID WARMING and an eminent treat to humankind! Especially during the last 41 years.

That is truly “Global Warming” on a regional US style.

An interesting ”science” wouldn’t you say.

This is the “stuff” that “Global Warming” is made of.

Tomorrow the last part.

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Part 2: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler

7 november, 2011

And the cooling continues. Even on a regional level. Sorry – I mean that Global Warming is an imminent treat to humankind everywhere. Move on, NOTHING to see here.

Here is the second part of my regional analysis of the recent 9 months (year to date, January-September) US temperature from a regional perspective.

To see how the national trend is, or is not, mimicked in the 9 US climate regions. And how these regional decade trends have evolved during the last 111 years.

Especially to see how the decade trends have evolved during the last 41 years. The period that according to the Global Warming Hysterics and computer models they worship should show a steady and accelerated increase in temperature.

Part 1 here:

Part 1: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler

And as I always point out:

Remember, these are the official figures. With the poor placement of stations (91 % of the stations are CRN 3 to 5 = bad to very poor); where they have purposely taken away the urban heat island effect, use huge smoothing radius, the historical “adjustment and tweaking” to cool the past etc.

Not to mention the great slaughter of GHCN stations 1990-1993 – roughly 63 % of all stations were “dropped”. Oddly enough many of them in cold places – Hmmm? Now the number of GHCN stations is back at the same numbers as in 1890.

Also remember that the US stations are now nearly a third of the all GHCN world stations.

So here are the trends for the second three regions:

                             Southwest (AZ, CO, NM and UT)

Southwest temperature recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) 1900-2011

The trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.18 F / Decade

Southwest temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1970-2011

The trend for 1970 to 2011 is 0.64 F / Decade

Southwest temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1980-2011

The trend for 1980 to 2011 is 0.47 F / Decade

Southwest temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1990-2011

The trend for 1990 to 2011 is 0.27 F / Decade

Southwest temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 2000-2011

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is – 1.84 F / Decade

                     South (AR, LA, KS, MS, OK and TX)

South temperature recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) 1900-2011

The trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.01 F / Decade

South temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1970-2011

The trend for 1970 to 2011 is 0.42 F / Decade

South temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1980-2011

The trend for 1980 to 2011 is 0.39 F / Decade

South temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1990-2011

The trend for 1990 to 2011 is 0.35 F / Decade

South temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 2000-2011

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is – 0.19 F / Decade

                    East North Central (IA, MI, MN and WI)

East North Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) 1900-2011

The trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.11 F / Decade

East North Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1970-2011

The trend for 1970 to 2011 is 0.41 F / Decade

East North Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1980-2011

The trend for 1980 to 2011 is 0.06 F / Decade

East North Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1990-2011

The trend for 1990 to 2011 is 0.14 F / Decade

East North Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 2000-2011

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is – 1.05 F / Decade

And as I said in the beginningalways remember that these figures are based on the official data that has been tweaked, “adjusted” and manipulated to fit their agenda (cool the past, ignore UHI and land use change factors, huge smoothing radius – 1200km etc.)..

Do you notice the “accelerated warming” trend from 1970-2011 to 2000-2011??

So the “warming trend” 2000-2011 is exactly – 1.84 F, – 0.19 F and – 1.05 F degrees COOLER a decade for these 3 regions.  That is a whopping – 18.4 F, – 1.9 F and– 10.5 F COOLER in 100 years. The freezer next!

And this is also the decade that the Global Warming Hysterics have been screaming at the top of their lungs, trying to scare us to death, about the catastrophic treat that the “extreme increase” in temperature is to mankind and earth.

According to the computer models that the Global Warming Hysterics love so much, worship and blindly follows (especially our intelligent politicians), it should be EXACTLY the opposite.

And we are supposed to be very worried about a predicted rise of 3-4 F in 100 years?

But not this ACTUAL trend?

And for this predicted trend the politicians want to take our societies back to the Stone Age. But, as usual, they DO NOTHING about the actual trend.

So to summarize this evidence of this “accelerated warming” trend:

The Southwest recent 9 months trend 2000 -2011 is exactly – 1.84 F degrees a decade.

The South recent 9 months trend 2000 -2011 is exactly – 0.19 F degrees a decade.

The East North Central recent 9 months trend 2000-2011 is exactly – 1.05 F degrees a decade.

So the “warming” trend is really accelerating wouldn’t you say.

Some more “rapid warming” like this and the freezer looks really comfortable and warm.

Another brilliant and glorious example of RAPID WARMING and an eminent treat to humankind! Especially during the last 41 years.

That is truly “Global Warming” on a regionalUSstyle.

An interesting ”science” wouldn’t you say.

This is the “stuff” that “Global Warming” is made of.

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Part 1: Recent 9 Months U.S. Regional Temperature trend/decade – It is getting cooler and cooler

6 november, 2011

And the cooling continues. Even on a regional level. Sorry – I mean that Global Warming is an imminent treat to humankind everywhere.

As a complement to my previous post Recent 9 Months U.S. Temperature trend/decade – 7.8 F COOLER in 100 years, and while waiting for the October figures, I thought it also would be interesting to look at the recent 9 months (year to date, January-September) US temperature from a regional perspective. To see how the national trend is, or is not, mimicked in the 9 US climate regions. And how these regional decade trends have evolved during the last 111 years.

Especially to see how the decade trends have evolved during the last 41 years. The period that according to the Global Warming Hysterics and computer models they worship should show a steady and accelerated increase in temperature.

I don’t know about you, but I consider a 9 month consecutive month trend 111 years long to be a “quit good” indicator.

And as I always point out:

Remember, these are the official figures. With the poor placement of stations (91 % of the stations are CRN 3 to 5 = bad to very poor); where they have purposely taken away the urban heat island effect, use huge smoothing radius, the historical “adjustment and tweaking” to cool the past etc.

Not to mention the great slaughter of GHCN stations 1990-1993 – roughly 63 % of all stations were “dropped”. Oddly enough many of them in cold places – Hmmm? Now the number of GHCN stations is back at the same numbers as in 1890.

Also remember that theUSstations are now nearly a third of the all GHCN world stations.

NOAA and  NCDC define the 9 US regions like this:

“Through climate analysis, National Climatic Data Center scientists have identified nine climatically consistent regions within the contiguous United States which are useful for putting current climate anomalies into a historical perspective (Karl and Koss, 1984).”

So here are the trends for the first three regions:

                               North West (WA, OR and ID)

 North West temperature recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) 1900-2011

The trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.13 F / Decade

North West temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1970-2011

The trend for 1970 to 2011 is 0.41 F / Decade

North West temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1980-2011

The trend for 1980 to 2011 is 0.24 F / Decade

North West temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1990-2011

The trend for 1990 to 2011 is – 0.41 F / Decade

North West temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 2000-2011

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is 1.39 F / Decade

West (CA and NV)

West temperature recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) 1900-2011

The trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.16 F / Decade

West temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1970-2011

The trend for 1970 to 2011 is 0.39 F / Decade

West temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1980-2011

The trend for 1980 to 2011 is 0.16 F / Decade

West temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1990-2011

The trend for 1990 to 2011 is – 0.07 F / Decade

West temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 2000-2011

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is – 1.38 F / Decade

West North Central (MT, NE, ND, SD and WY)

West North Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan-Sep) 1900-2011

The trend for 1900 to 2011 is 0.19 F / Decade

West North Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1970-2011

The trend for 1970 to 2011 is 0.30 F / Decade

West North Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1980-2011

The trend for 1980 to 2011 is – 0.11 F / Decade

West North Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 1990-2011

The trend for 1990 to 2011 is – 0.21 F / Decade

West North Central temperature recent 9 months (Jan- Sep) 2000-2011

The trend for 2000 to 2011 is – 2.08 F / Decade

And as I said in the beginningalways remember that these figures are based on the official data that has been tweaked, “adjusted” and manipulated to fit their agenda (cool the past, ignore UHI and land use change factors, huge smoothing radius – 1200km etc.)..

Do you notice the “accelerated warming” trend from 1970-2011 to 2000-2011??

So the “warming trend” 2000-2011 is exactly – 2.08 F, – 1.38 F and – 1.39 F degrees COOLER a decade for these 3 regions.  That is a whopping – 20.8 F, – 13.8 F and – 13.9 F COOLER in 100 years. The DEEP freezer next!

And this is also the decade that the Global Warming Hysterics have been screaming at the top of their lungs, trying to scare us to death, about the catastrophic treat that the “extreme increase” in temperature is to mankind and earth.

This is a perfect example of what I have been saying all along, it has always been a political agenda – anti human, anti freedom, anti development and anti capitalism. And this Global Warming Hysteria is part of that agenda. It has nothing to do with science, facts or saving the environment or the Earth.

All of this, as always, paid by us, the common people, in the form of taxes, high energy costs and reducing our living standard back to the Stone Age.

And all of this to “save” the Earth from a “catastrophic warming” when it is actually cooling.

And the most absurd thing is that all the things that the “intelligent” politicians and the so called “scientists”, with the willing help of mainstream media, have forced through at EXTREME cost to us, are actually helping to accelerate the cooling.

Talking about an eminent treat to humankind!

According to the computer models that the Global Warming Hysterics love so much, worship and blindly follows (especially our intelligent politicians), it should be EXACTLY the opposite.

And we are supposed to be very worried about a predicted rise of 3-4 F in 100 years?

But not this ACTUAL trend?

And for this predicted trend the politicians want to take our societies back to the Stone Age. But, as usual, they DO NOTHING about the actual trend.

So to summarize this evidence of this “accelerated warming” trend:

The North West recent 9 months trend 2000 -2011 is exactly – 1.39 F degrees a decade.

The West recent 9 months trend 2000 -2011 is exactly – 1.38 F degrees a decade.

The West North Central recent 9 months trend 2000-2011 is exactly – 2.08 F degrees a decade.

So the “warming” trend is really accelerating wouldn’t you say.

Some more “rapid warming” like this and the freezer looks really, really warm.

Another brilliant and glorious example of RAPID WARMING and an eminent treat to humankind! Especially during the last 41 years.

That is truly “Global Warming” on a regional US style.

An interesting ”science” wouldn’t you say.

This is the “stuff” that “Global Warming” is made of.

Läs även andra bloggares åsikter om http://bloggar.se/om/milj%F6” rel=”tag”>miljö</a>, <a href=” http://bloggar.se/om/yttrandefrihet” rel=”tag”>yttrandefrihet</a>, <a href=”http://bloggar.se/om/fri-+och+r%E4ttigheter” rel=”tag”>fri- och rättigheter, Läs även andra bloggares åsikter om <a href=” http://bloggar.se/om/USA” rel=”tag”>USA</a>

If ALL human activities CEASED in Alaska TODAY the effect on global temperature in 2100 would be 0,001 C

28 januari, 2009

Here comes a very interesting study which puts the whole Global Warming Hysteria in perspective. This study takes the example of Alaska to see what impact it would have on a global scale if Alaska would follow the Global Warming Hysterics and their policies.

A cessation of ALL OF Alaska’s anthropogenic CO2 emissions, that is a TOTAL STOP for ALL HUMAN activities and a deportation of ALL HUMANS from Alaska,  would result in a Global temperature reduction by the year 2100 of one thousandths of a degree Celsius (0,001).

A climatically-irrelevant and undetectable global temperature reduction.

And it will result in a global sea-level rise savings by the year 2100 of an estimated 0.02 cm, or less than one hundredths of an inch.

Again, this value is climatically irrelevant and virtually zero.

And for this the politicians want to sacrifice our living standard, progress and wellbeing!

”Even if the entire Western world were to close down its economies completely and revert to the Stone Age, without even the ability to light fires, the growth in emissions from China and India would replace our entire emissions in little more than a decade.

Se also my postThe Spatial Pattern and Mechanisms of Heat-Content Change in the North Atlantic

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Figure 5. Alaskan statewide average temperature, 1949-2007 (source: Alaska Climate Research Center).  Note the step-change in Alaska temperatures in late 1970s coincides with the step-change from the cooling to the warming phase of the PDO (see figure 3).

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Figure 6. Alaskan statewide average temperature, 1976-2007 (source: Alaska Climate Research Center).

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Figure 11. Annually-averaged anthropogenic emissions (2000-2003) of CO2 and annually-averaged CO2 emissions (2002-2006) from fires for states where average fire emissions greater than 5% of the states’ anthropogenic emissions. The error bars associated with the fire emission estimates represent the standard deviation of the monthly emissions for 2002-2006 (from Wiedinmyer and Neff, 2007).

Using the percentages in Table 3, and assuming that temperature change scales in proportion to CO2 emissions, we calculate the global temperature savings that will result from the complete cessation of anthropogenic CO2 emissions in Alaska:

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Accordingly, a cessation of all of Alaska‘s CO2 emissions would result in a climatically-irrelevant and undetectable global temperature reduction by the year 2100 of one thousandths of a degree Celsius – a number is so low that it is effectively equivalent to zero. Results for sea-level rise are also negligible:

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A complete cessation of all anthropogenic emissions from Alaska will result in a global sea-level rise savings by the year 2100 of an estimated 0.02 cm, or less than one hundredths of an inch. Again, this value is climatically irrelevant and virtually zero.

Observed Climate Change and the Negligible Global Effect of Greenhouse-gas Emission Limits in the State of Alaska

http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/originals/Alaska_Climate_Change.pdf

Summary for Policy Makers

The climate of Alaska has changed considerably over the past 50-plus years. However, human emissions of greenhouse gases are not the primary reason. Instead, the timing of the swings of a periodic, natural cycle-the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)-has made a strong imprint on the observed climate of Alaska since the mid-20th century. Despite its established existence and influence, this natural cycle is often overlooked or ignored in zealous attempts to paint the current climate of Alaska as being one primarily molded by the emissions from anthropogenic industrial activities. In truth, the climate of Alaska and the ecosystems influenced by it have been subject to the cycles of the PDO and other natural variations since the end of the last ice age (some 12,000 years ago) and likely for eons prior. It is primarily these natural cycles that are currently shaping Alaska‘s long-term climate and weather fluctuations.

Local and regional processes are the most important determinants of the climate experienced by local and regional ecosystems, including human populations. Global-scale influences are much harder to detect and their influence on regionalscale changes is uncertain. In fact, global climate models which project changes in future climate are unable to reliably model local and regional changes-the most important ones in our daily lives.

Therefore, efforts to control global processes through local changes are largely useless when it comes to the climate. For instance, the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities each year in the state of Alaska amounts to less than 0.2 percent of the global total human greenhouse gas emissions. Industrial growth in China adds an additional Alaska‘s worth of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere each and every month (over and above its baseline emissions). This leads to the inescapable conclusion that even a complete cessation of all carbon dioxide emissions originating from Alaska would be subsumed by global greenhouse gas emissions increases in less than three week’s time. What’s more, carbon dioxide emissions reductions in Alaska would produce no detectable or scientifically meaningful impact on local, regional, or global climate. Unfortunately, the same cannot be said for the economic consequences of greenhouse gas emissions’ legislation-they have been recently estimated to be large, and negative, for the citizens of Alaska.

Long-term Climate History of Alaska

Current conditions in Alaska, largely brought about by the warm phase of the PDO, are conducive to increasing the recession rate of the state’s many glaciers (a recession rate first established at the end of the Little Ice Age in the mid-to-late 1800s), initiating thawing of marginal permafrost and other impacts reviewed above. Still, current conditions are not unusual in the present Holocene climate epoch (the period since the end of the last ice age about 10,000-12,000 years ago). In fact, there have been several extended periods, stretching from centuries to millennia, during the Holocene in which the climate of Alaska was warmer than it is currently.

These warm periods have been described and documented in the scientific literature.

In on such paper titled ”Pronounced climatic variations in Alaska during the last two millennia,” University of Illinois scientist Feng Sheng Hu (2001) examined the make-up of lake sediments located in the northwest foothills of the Alaskan Range to determine how the climate varied during that period. Among other findings, Hu and colleagues concluded that there have been three periods of roughly similar warmth in Alaska during the past 2,000 years-periods from A.D. 0 to 300, 850-1200, and 1800 to present. Thus, the environmental changes that are occurring in the current warm period surely occurred during several other occasions in the past 2,000 years-long before human activities were having an impact on the global climate.

An even farther look back in time was summarized in a landmark study, ”Holocene thermal maximum in the western Arctic,” published in 2004 by 30 eminent scientists whose specialty is past climate (Kaufman et al., 2004). Making use of a variety of proxy indicators, the authors concluded that the climate of Alaska averaged ~3ºF warmer than recent times over an extended period of 2,000 years, from 9,000 to 11,000 years ago. Clearly, the early ancestors of today’s native Americans as well as today’s polar bears, walruses, and other plant and animal species made it through that extended warm period.

All physical evidence provides a clear picture that Alaska’s climate is far from stationary. It warms and cools over time scales of years, decades, centuries, and millennia. That the human influence on the global atmospheric composition has only become possible during the past 50 years or so indicates that natural forces are the primary drivers behind these long-occurring climate fluctuations to which native flora and fauna have adapted and evolved. The climate of today is not unparalleled. It is one that has been experienced in Alaska on numerous occasions over the past 12,000 years.

Impacts of climate-mitigation measures in the state of Alaska

Globally, in 2004, humankind emitted 27,186 million metric tons of carbon dioxide (mmtCO2), of which emissions from Alaska accounted for 47.0 mmtCO2, or a mere 0.17% (EIA, 2007a, b). Alaska’s proportion of manmade CO2 emissions will decrease over the 21st century as the rapid demand for hydrocarbon energy in developing countries such as China, India, Brizil, South Africa, and Indonesia rapidly outpaces the growth of Alaska’s CO2 emissions (EIA, 2007a).

During the past 5 years, global emissions of CO2 from human activity have increased at an average rate of 3.5%/yr (EIA, 2007a), meaning that the annual increase of anthropogenic global CO2 emissions is more than 20 times greater than Alaska’s total emissions. This means that even a complete cessation of all CO2 emissions in Alaska would be completely subsumed by global emissions growth in less than three week’s time! China alone adds about 13 Alaska‘s-worth of new emissions to its emissions’ total each and every year. Clearly, given the magnitude of the global emissions and global emission growth, regulations prescribing even total cessation of Alaska’s CO2 emissions will have absolutely no effect on global climate.

Further, Alaskan forest fires annually emit more carbon dioxide to the atmosphere than all human activity combined-a situation that is unique among the 50 states. Thus, any changes in human carbon dioxide emissions would be largely lost in the natural variations in fire activity.

In trying to determine the climatic effects of greenhouse gas emissions limitations, Wigley (1998 ) examined the climate impact of the adherence to the emissions controls agreed under the Kyoto Protocol by participating nations, and found that, if all developed countries meet their commitments in 2010 and maintain them through 2100, with a mid-range sensitivity of surface temperature to changes in CO2, the amount of warming ”saved” by the Kyoto Protocol would be 0.07°C by 2050 and 0.15°C by 2100. The global sea level rise ”saved” would be 2.6 cm, or one inch. Even a complete cessation of CO2 emissions in Alaska is only a tiny fraction of the worldwide reductions assumed in Dr. Wigley’s global analysis, so its impact on future trends in global temperature and sea level will be only a minuscule fraction of the negligible effects calculated by Dr. Wigley.

”Even if the entire Western world were to close down its economies completely and revert to the Stone Age, without even the ability to light fires, the growth in emissions from China and India would replace our entire emissions in little more than a decade. In this context, any cuts in emissions from Alaska would be extravagantly pointless. Alaska’s carbon dioxide emissions, it their sum total, effectively do not impact world climate in any way whatsoever.”

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